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MBA predicts record year for commercial lending

Commercial and multifamily lending should reach record volumes in 2016, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) has projected.

Originations were projected to total $511 billion at the end of the year, up 3 percent from 2015 volumes and exceeding the record of $507 billion in 2007, the trade group said.

"This past year was extremely strong for commercial real estate finance," said MBA Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research Jamie Woodwell in a report. "Property incomes are rising, interest rates are low and property values are up. We expect the momentum to continue into 2016 and to support both the demand for and supply of commercial and multifamily mortgage capital."   

Woodwell said, however, that cap rates could rise along with interest rates, which could potentially slow property sales and mortgage originations.

The trade group also predicted that commercial/multifamily mortgage debt will end the year at $2.9 trillion, up 3 percent from year-end 2015 level. 


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