Commercial delinquencies jump in first quarter for GSEs and FHA

MBA survey shows commercial loan performance remained resilient across the industrial sector

Commercial delinquencies jump in first quarter for GSEs and FHA

MBA survey shows commercial loan performance remained resilient across the industrial sector
GSE, FHA commercial delinquencies jump in first quarter

Delinquency rates for mortgages financing commercial properties rose sharply during the first quarter, with only industrial sector borrowings spared from broad weakening.

Commercial properties backed by the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) recorded particularly steep performance declines.

The delinquency rate across all capital sources increased to 4.02% over the first three months of 2026 from 3.86% the previous quarter, according to a quarterly survey of commercial mortgage performance published Monday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).

Judie Ricks, associate vice president of commercial real estate research at the MBA, noted in a statement accompanying the figures that “some of the largest increases” were observed in multifamily, office and health care properties.

Five capital sources possess more than 80% of outstanding commercial mortgage debt, according to the MBA: commercial banks and thrifts, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), life insurance companies and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

CMBS loan delinquency rates continued to post the most performance stress across capital sources, with 5.21% of loan balances being 30 days or more past due in the first quarter, up from 4.97% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025. The CMBS delinquency rate was around 5.66% at the end of September and 5.14% at the end of last June.

Overall, the balance of commercial mortgages that are not current increased in the first quarter of 2026. Non-current loan share across other capital sources remained what the MBA described as “moderate.”

Commercial mortgage balances held by Fannie and Freddie rose to 0.97% from 0.63% during the previous quarter, a notable gain (from admittedly low levels) given the GSE delinquency rate had hovered around 0.6% all last year.

Delinquency rates for multifamily and health care properties insured by the FHA also posted a notable increase at the start of 2026, rising to 0.96% over the quarter from 0.65%. Performance of commercial mortgages held by life insurance companies improved slightly, declining from 1.5% in the fourth quarter to 1.47% in the first.

“The data show a gradual but persistent increase in delinquency rates in the overall market,” said Ricks, adding that “GSE, FHA, and CMBS loans also saw large jumps in early-stage delinquency.”

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