Housing slowdown stronger than expected at the end of 2024

Redfin finds home listings are up, but sales activity is down

Housing slowdown stronger than expected at the end of 2024

Redfin finds home listings are up, but sales activity is down
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New home listings jumped 8% year over year during the four weeks ending Dec. 29, according to a report from Redfin.

But it may not be good news. The higher number of listings could be due to a slowdown in overall home sales keeping homes on the market for longer. Redfin’s roundup of housing data points to a year-end slowdown in home sales as interest rates have increased.

The total number of homes for sale during December rose 10% and the daily average 30-fixed mortgage rate reached 7.07% on Jan. 2. The rate was actually down from the daily rate of 7.14% two weeks earlier, but up from 6.7% for the same period last year. Freddie Mac reported that the weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.91% as of Jan. 2.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported on Dec. 27 that seasonally adjusted mortgage purchase applications were down 13% from two weeks earlier and decreased 17% compared to the same week a year earlier. Redfin’s seasonally adjusted Homebuying Demand Index as of the week Dec. 29 was unchanged from November and down 1% from the year before.

Other signs of a slowing industry include home-touring activity being down 52% from the start of 2024, when compared to 2023. Google searches for “home for sale,” were up 30% in December from the previous month, but down 4% from the same time last year.

Redfin found median home prices at $383,750 for the four weeks ending Dec. 29. The price was up 6.4% year over year, the largest increase since October 2022. Median monthly mortgage payments at a mortgage rate of 6.91% were at $2,515, up 8.1% year over year.

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