
PCE price index dips in calm before expected war-fueled inflation wave
Core PCE rose by 3.1% in January, with the all-items index remaining well above the Fed’s target

Core PCE rose by 3.1% in January, with the all-items index remaining well above the Fed’s target

But negative equity levels rose amid concentrated home price declines

Recent growth in purchase activity will face test following economic fallout of Iran war

Foreclosure levels remain historically low as FHA serious delinquency rate nears 5%

Souring sentiment, declining permits and rising volatility are likely to remain near-term headwinds for home builders

Affordability strains persist nationwide even as price gains and mortgage payments ease

The non-QM sector experienced consistent growth in 2025

With Federal Reserve officials set to meet next week, war with Iran has rattled near-term inflation outlooks

Increased purchase volume adds to positive momentum at the end of February

The U.S. war with Iran will likely mark an inflection point on affordability, with spring and summer home sales at risk
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