Bond market holds the cards as inflation fears spike Fed rate hike odds

As the Kevin Warsh era commences, are ‘bond vigilantes’ exerting outsized influence?
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Bond market holds the cards as inflation fears spike Fed rate hike odds

As the Kevin Warsh era commences, are ‘bond vigilantes’ exerting outsized influence?
PRO
Bond market holds the cards as inflation fears spike Fed rate hike odds.

On Friday — Jerome Powell’s last official day as chairman of the Federal Reserve — jittery bond market investors sent U.S. Treasury yields soaring to their highest levels since early 2025.
The 10-year Treasury, which serves as a benchmark for 30-year mortgage rates, touched 4.607% before closing at 4.596%. The 2-year yield reached as high as 4.094% before settling at 4.075%, while the 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.12% after hitting 5.132%.
Earlier in the week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the beefiest inflation print since May 2023, with the consumer price index (CPI) reaching 3.8% on an annual basis in April.
Fannie Mae’s latest economic forecast, released May 12, predicts headline CPI will reach 4.5% during the second quar...

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